The Economy in Context: July 2019

This economy isn't "better", and it sure as Hell isn't "great".

The Economy in Context: June 2019

Bragging about a 3.6% unemployment rate with 62.8% labor force participation is like bragging about how well a cupcake fits in a ring box. No one wants that cupcake or the ring box.

The Economy in Context: April 2019

There are a lot of indications, not least of which the rhetoric coming out of the White House, that the economy is not as strong as has been sold.

The Economy in Context: January 2019

As rosy as the economic data seems, there's still some pretty serious questions hanging over this economy.

The Economy In Context: July 2018

At 157,000 net jobs created, the preliminary numbers in the July Jobs Report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics came in well below the 190,000 jobs expected by market watchers, and well below the average established during Obama's second term.

The Economics Quarterly: July 2018

While the quarterly GDP growth rate hasn't been below 2.0% since the first quarter of 2017, it also hasn't been above 5.0% since the second quarter of 2014, and it's a long way from the 7.0% rate in the third quarter of 2003.

The Economics Quarterly: April 2018

The economy continues to roll ahead however isn't without blemishes.

The Economic Pulse

The main barrier to hiring an employee isn’t tax policy, regulatory policy, or even a recession...

The Economics Quarterly: 2017Q1

The economy has been moving upward since about 2015, but, from a purely political standpoint, much of this growth could be attributed to the general impression that the political winds were going to change in Washington.

Economic Speed Round: December 2016

The latest helping of government data on jobs and the economy are remarkably rosy, but there are more than a few dark clouds surrounding the silver linings.

Economics Speed Round: October 2016

With the election upcoming, we've no choice but to wait and see if the bubble economy bursts before or after the election.

Economics Speed Round: September 2016

Coupled with a broad base slow down in production and construction, we still appear on track for a recession starting in 3rd quarter or 4th quarter 2016, though it does not appear to be a traditional recession.

Economics Speed Round: July 2016

The bottom line is that while the jobs number for June seems strong, it is accompanied by enough asterisks that excitement over it should be well tempered.

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