The Economy in Context: July 2019

This economy isn't "better", and it sure as Hell isn't "great".

The Economy in Context: June 2019

Bragging about a 3.6% unemployment rate with 62.8% labor force participation is like bragging about how well a cupcake fits in a ring box. No one wants that cupcake or the ring box.

The Economy in Context: May 2019

Is this a healthy economy?

Americans Are a Cheap (And Stupid) Date

Are we missing something?

The Economy in Context: April 2019

There are a lot of indications, not least of which the rhetoric coming out of the White House, that the economy is not as strong as has been sold.

The Labor Force Participation Problem

While the American left would have everyone believe that banks and investors were to blame for the 2006-2008 subprime mortgage crisis and the resulting recession (and they do share some part of the blame), it's not quite that simple.

The Economy in Context: March 2019

The only thing keeping the United States economy out of a significant recession have been low interest rates...

The Economics Quarterly: February 2019

It is obvious something is holding the economy back, but no one is dealing with the underlying problem.

The Economy in Context: February 2019

Trade talks with China remain a wild card that can stave off an economic slowdown in 2019, or, if things go south in trade negotiations, take the economy of both countries down with it.

What’s the Federal Funds Rate Telling Us?

There are some fairly unusual things about the economy in the Trump Era, that are reminiscent, albeit opposite, of the Carter Era.

The Economy in Context: January 2019

As rosy as the economic data seems, there's still some pretty serious questions hanging over this economy.

No, Precious Metals Aren’t the Answer

How do you operate a national economy, let alone the global economy, on a commodity so small that an errant box fan could conceivably wipe out an individual's wealth?

A Short Word: Trump’s Fed Folly

Donald Trump whined about the Federal Reserve doing what it has to do to cut off rising inflation rates...

The Economy in Context: December 2018

[T]he president's misbegotten policies are presently the biggest factors in the market today.

Gauging Trump’s Jobs Facade

The fact that so many Americans are not participating in the labor force today, a problem that exploded under Obama, so he bears responsibility, is the single largest problem facing America today, and Trump and his supporters never talk about it.

The Economy in Context: November 2018

Americans should remain skeptical of the rosy picture painted by the latest jobs report, because fundamental problems in the economy remain.

The Economics Quarterly: October 2018

There are a lot of things that look good in the last few quarters, and growth remains solid, particularly if the 3.5% preliminary GDP growth rate holds through revisions, but there are still some nagging doubts that won't go away.

The End Of The Bad Old Days

While the economy continues to churn along even into 2018, well beyond what I had predicted, two recent events indicate that the gravy train may finally be coming to a long overdue halt.

The Economy in Context: October 2018

The current administration's economy has only outperformed the average performance of the previous administration (post recession) eight months out of the last twenty-one months, or roughly one-third of the time.

The Economy in Context: August 2018

Despite numerous deregulation victories and his incessant bragging in 2016, Trump's economy has created more jobs than Obama's second term (post recession) economy only 7 out of the last 20 months.

The Economy In Context: July 2018

At 157,000 net jobs created, the preliminary numbers in the July Jobs ReportĀ from the Bureau of Labor StatisticsĀ came in well below the 190,000 jobs expected by market watchers, and well below the average established during Obama's second term.

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